Fragrance Could Rebound for Holiday 2009

Posted on November 11, 2009 @ 10:41 am

More consumers could be heading to department store cosmetic counters this holiday season, according to market research firm The NPD Group. NPD’s annual survey of consumers’ holiday spending intentions shows one in five (19%) consumers told NPD that they plan to buy fragrance as a gift this upcoming holiday season, a two point increase from last year.

“It will be interesting to see how all this translates into prestige department store fragrance sales, especially as we have seen a number of important new women’s fragrances begin to roll out in stores and retailers also offering consumers attractive promotions,” said Karen Grant, vice president and global industry analyst, The NPD Group—and a member of Beauty Packaging magazine’s Board of Advisors.

According to NPD BeautyTrends, in the first nine months of 2009, U.S. prestige fragrances generated a little over $1.38 billion in sales, a decline of 11 percent, compared to January—September 2008. However, a few bright spots in the prestige fragrance arena included fragrance juices priced between $75 and $99.99 and juices priced at $100 and over, which grew 2% and 4% in dollars, respectively.

“Typically, the fourth quarter (Oct. – Dec.) is the biggest quarter of the year for prestige fragrance, but with the overall prestige fragrance industry showing double-digit declines in the first nine months of the year, we’ll have to wait and see what happens,” concluded Grant.